I can’t help but see the Chinese angle regarding EV/renewables adoption. China has a chokehold on the entire EV, solar and wind turbine supply chain. BYD is proposing sub $20,000 EVs which pass US regulators. US firms, despite federal subsidies, cannot produce solar cells for less cost than the Chinese, nor batteries, nor EVs generally. This should come as no surprise. The US can’t compete on price for anything because our fixed/labor and regulatory costs are so much higher, which of course is downstream of our higher levels of consumption. China wants to take every industry from the United States until the world can see the lie that is the US dollar for what it is. The US exports dollars which allows us to maintain extraordinary trade imbalances with virtually every trading partner. Us Americans get the consumptive bonus of getting access to cheap foreign goods. Which means that no Americans will be participating in real productivity (food, clothing, vehicles) and only in financial products or government bureaucracy (aka healthcare). Until our relative consumption on the international market is down regulated (probably only going to happen through the dollar losing its reserve status) we will be unable to be normal participants in the global marketplace and our economy will continue to be more leveraged, financialized and unproductive, with greater wealth inequality and falling life expectancy.
This won't be a problem because the EV mandate will be yanked in the US on January 20. Sales of EVs will go from 9% of the market today, down to 1% or even 0.1% once the full effect of all EV mandates have taken into effect, which admittedly may take some time given court challenges and other wrinkles.
Trump says a lot of things, and it’s sometimes hard to know what will become a reality. One such issue is the so-called EV mandate.
in my opinion.......what ever Trumps says will only become a Reality if...if...if......the Deep State wants them too........the Deep State is not going to make Trump look good......the Deep State will put Trump thru the Grinder at every chance they get.........Likewise with the Media..........
But my point here is that the probability of this happening, and right away in January, is now higher than one might have suspected before he made it clear in this interview.
Increased roadwear, bridges & tunnels, etc from ChatGPT:
The relationship between vehicle weight and the cost of road and infrastructure repair is significant and well-documented. Heavier vehicles exert more pressure and cause more damage to road surfaces and infrastructure than lighter vehicles. Here are some key points explaining this relationship:
1. Exponential Damage Relationship
The damage a vehicle causes to the road is not linear but exponential. The American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials (AASHTO) developed the "Fourth Power Law," which states that the damage to the road surface increases with the fourth power of the axle load. This means that if the axle load doubles, the damage caused increases by a factor of 16.
2. Impact on Road Surfaces
Heavier vehicles, especially those with high axle loads, can cause various types of road damage:
Pavement Deformation: Heavier vehicles can cause ruts and depressions in the pavement, leading to an uneven road surface.
Cracking: The repeated stress from heavy loads can cause cracks in the pavement, which can develop into potholes if not repaired.
Fatigue Failure: The cumulative effect of heavy loads over time can cause the pavement to fail prematurely.
3. Bridge Wear and Tear
Bridges are particularly sensitive to heavy loads. Excessive weight can lead to:
Structural Wear: Increased weight can cause stress and strain on bridge components, leading to fatigue and potential failure.
Accelerated Deterioration: Heavier vehicles accelerate the wear and tear on bridge decks, joints, and supports.
4. Increased Maintenance Costs
Due to the above-mentioned damages, heavier vehicles lead to higher maintenance and repair costs:
More Frequent Repairs: Roads and bridges used by heavy vehicles require more frequent maintenance and repairs to keep them in good condition.
Expensive Upgrades: In some cases, infrastructure needs to be upgraded to accommodate heavier loads, which is a significant expense.
5. Economic Impact
The economic impact of the damage caused by heavy vehicles includes:
Direct Costs: The costs associated with repairing and maintaining road and bridge infrastructure.
Indirect Costs: These include traffic delays, increased vehicle operating costs due to rough road conditions, and potential accidents caused by poor road conditions.
6. Policy Implications
Due to the significant impact of heavy vehicles on infrastructure, many regions have implemented policies to mitigate the damage:
Weight Limits: Regulations that limit the maximum allowable weight of vehicles on certain roads and bridges.
Toll and Fee Systems: Implementing tolls or fees for heavy vehicles to help cover the cost of the additional damage they cause.
Design Standards: Building roads and bridges to higher standards in anticipation of heavy vehicle use.
7. Technological Solutions
To mitigate the impact of heavy vehicles, various technological solutions are being explored:
Stronger Materials: Using more durable materials in road construction to withstand heavier loads.
Load Distribution: Designing vehicles and infrastructure to distribute weight more evenly and reduce the pressure on any single point.
In summary, vehicle weight significantly influences the cost of road and infrastructure repair due to the exponential relationship between load and damage, necessitating frequent and costly maintenance and upgrades. Policy measures and technological advancements aim to address these challenges, ensuring sustainable infrastructure management.--------------------------
==============================
Enough to bankrupt cities. Never mind the battery fires.
I consider Trump's "promises" to be aspirational, nothing more. They indicate his inclination, his intent, but many are beyond his control or do not become a priority given his limited time in office and having to deal with Congress, and what is lawful.
There are different circumstances around each promise. My point here is that he made it clear that canning the Federal EV mandate is part of the Day One executive action package.
"The West is unaware how affordable Chinese EVs actually are without tariffs. The BYD Seagull EV Honor Edition starts at about $9,700. The BYD Dolphin EV Honor costs only $13,900 and the BYD Yuan electric SUV is $16,600. You cannot find used cars for these prices in the US, let alone an EV." -- Martin Armstrong: https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/world-news/world-trade/american-auto-ceo-praises-chinas-ev-market/
The cost of American EVs may go down when the EV mandate is removed, but they'll still not be as cheap as China's EVs. Of course, by the time Trump adds tariffs, a $30,000 American EV will be cheaper than a $14,000 Chinese EV + punitive tariffs. He'll make sure of it.
EVs are subsidized today in the US. Forget about the Federal and state subsidies -- they are important too, but the big one is the internal one by the automakers themselves. When the EV mandate goes away -- assuming it does -- then the price of EVs sold in the US will likely go up by at least $25,000 per car.
I can’t help but see the Chinese angle regarding EV/renewables adoption. China has a chokehold on the entire EV, solar and wind turbine supply chain. BYD is proposing sub $20,000 EVs which pass US regulators. US firms, despite federal subsidies, cannot produce solar cells for less cost than the Chinese, nor batteries, nor EVs generally. This should come as no surprise. The US can’t compete on price for anything because our fixed/labor and regulatory costs are so much higher, which of course is downstream of our higher levels of consumption. China wants to take every industry from the United States until the world can see the lie that is the US dollar for what it is. The US exports dollars which allows us to maintain extraordinary trade imbalances with virtually every trading partner. Us Americans get the consumptive bonus of getting access to cheap foreign goods. Which means that no Americans will be participating in real productivity (food, clothing, vehicles) and only in financial products or government bureaucracy (aka healthcare). Until our relative consumption on the international market is down regulated (probably only going to happen through the dollar losing its reserve status) we will be unable to be normal participants in the global marketplace and our economy will continue to be more leveraged, financialized and unproductive, with greater wealth inequality and falling life expectancy.
This won't be a problem because the EV mandate will be yanked in the US on January 20. Sales of EVs will go from 9% of the market today, down to 1% or even 0.1% once the full effect of all EV mandates have taken into effect, which admittedly may take some time given court challenges and other wrinkles.
Trump says a lot of things, and it’s sometimes hard to know what will become a reality. One such issue is the so-called EV mandate.
in my opinion.......what ever Trumps says will only become a Reality if...if...if......the Deep State wants them too........the Deep State is not going to make Trump look good......the Deep State will put Trump thru the Grinder at every chance they get.........Likewise with the Media..........
But my point here is that the probability of this happening, and right away in January, is now higher than one might have suspected before he made it clear in this interview.
Increased roadwear, bridges & tunnels, etc from ChatGPT:
The relationship between vehicle weight and the cost of road and infrastructure repair is significant and well-documented. Heavier vehicles exert more pressure and cause more damage to road surfaces and infrastructure than lighter vehicles. Here are some key points explaining this relationship:
1. Exponential Damage Relationship
The damage a vehicle causes to the road is not linear but exponential. The American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials (AASHTO) developed the "Fourth Power Law," which states that the damage to the road surface increases with the fourth power of the axle load. This means that if the axle load doubles, the damage caused increases by a factor of 16.
2. Impact on Road Surfaces
Heavier vehicles, especially those with high axle loads, can cause various types of road damage:
Pavement Deformation: Heavier vehicles can cause ruts and depressions in the pavement, leading to an uneven road surface.
Cracking: The repeated stress from heavy loads can cause cracks in the pavement, which can develop into potholes if not repaired.
Fatigue Failure: The cumulative effect of heavy loads over time can cause the pavement to fail prematurely.
3. Bridge Wear and Tear
Bridges are particularly sensitive to heavy loads. Excessive weight can lead to:
Structural Wear: Increased weight can cause stress and strain on bridge components, leading to fatigue and potential failure.
Accelerated Deterioration: Heavier vehicles accelerate the wear and tear on bridge decks, joints, and supports.
4. Increased Maintenance Costs
Due to the above-mentioned damages, heavier vehicles lead to higher maintenance and repair costs:
More Frequent Repairs: Roads and bridges used by heavy vehicles require more frequent maintenance and repairs to keep them in good condition.
Expensive Upgrades: In some cases, infrastructure needs to be upgraded to accommodate heavier loads, which is a significant expense.
5. Economic Impact
The economic impact of the damage caused by heavy vehicles includes:
Direct Costs: The costs associated with repairing and maintaining road and bridge infrastructure.
Indirect Costs: These include traffic delays, increased vehicle operating costs due to rough road conditions, and potential accidents caused by poor road conditions.
6. Policy Implications
Due to the significant impact of heavy vehicles on infrastructure, many regions have implemented policies to mitigate the damage:
Weight Limits: Regulations that limit the maximum allowable weight of vehicles on certain roads and bridges.
Toll and Fee Systems: Implementing tolls or fees for heavy vehicles to help cover the cost of the additional damage they cause.
Design Standards: Building roads and bridges to higher standards in anticipation of heavy vehicle use.
7. Technological Solutions
To mitigate the impact of heavy vehicles, various technological solutions are being explored:
Stronger Materials: Using more durable materials in road construction to withstand heavier loads.
Load Distribution: Designing vehicles and infrastructure to distribute weight more evenly and reduce the pressure on any single point.
In summary, vehicle weight significantly influences the cost of road and infrastructure repair due to the exponential relationship between load and damage, necessitating frequent and costly maintenance and upgrades. Policy measures and technological advancements aim to address these challenges, ensuring sustainable infrastructure management.--------------------------
==============================
Enough to bankrupt cities. Never mind the battery fires.
I consider Trump's "promises" to be aspirational, nothing more. They indicate his inclination, his intent, but many are beyond his control or do not become a priority given his limited time in office and having to deal with Congress, and what is lawful.
There are different circumstances around each promise. My point here is that he made it clear that canning the Federal EV mandate is part of the Day One executive action package.
"The West is unaware how affordable Chinese EVs actually are without tariffs. The BYD Seagull EV Honor Edition starts at about $9,700. The BYD Dolphin EV Honor costs only $13,900 and the BYD Yuan electric SUV is $16,600. You cannot find used cars for these prices in the US, let alone an EV." -- Martin Armstrong: https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/world-news/world-trade/american-auto-ceo-praises-chinas-ev-market/
The cost of American EVs may go down when the EV mandate is removed, but they'll still not be as cheap as China's EVs. Of course, by the time Trump adds tariffs, a $30,000 American EV will be cheaper than a $14,000 Chinese EV + punitive tariffs. He'll make sure of it.
EVs are subsidized today in the US. Forget about the Federal and state subsidies -- they are important too, but the big one is the internal one by the automakers themselves. When the EV mandate goes away -- assuming it does -- then the price of EVs sold in the US will likely go up by at least $25,000 per car.